Thoughts on the Bianchi crash

Formula E - The Tostimonster's verdicts
Photo: SXC/ilco

Obviously my first thoughts are for Bianchi himself and for his family, friends, fans and team

Don’t forget Marussia – they are a small outfit who have already had the tragedy of Maria de Villotta, following an incident with earie similarities, to come to terms with. (The Spaniard hit a truck at Duxford after a testing session in 2013. She died of her injuries a year later.)

That said, there are a number of talking points.

From the (very graphic) camcorder video that’s now circulating online, it looks as though Bianchi did indeed hit the caterpillar truck at an angle, rather than head-on. This is fortunate for two reasons. Firstly, with a side impact, the roll hoop would hit the truck first, reducing the impact on the driver’s head. Secondly, the driver’s head would have room to move to the right, braced by the HANS device, not crushed against the bulkhead. I strongly doubt that a fully head-on impact would have been survivable.

Typhoon Time

I felt before the race that it would have been prudent to start the race early (to avoid the typhoon) as the FIA are thought to have suggested twice to the promoter. But although the weather conditions had deteriorated by the time of the accident, they were not outrageous (see below) and I don’t think that decision can be blamed for the crash.

The safety of the Dunlop curve should be looked at. Former McLaren test driver Gary Paffett said in a BBC interview that there could have been a ‘river’ running across the track at that point. That is possible but none of the other drivers mentioned aquaplaning (ie where the car literally floats) in that area, although some mentioned it at other parts of the track.

1994 flashback

Some will remember that Martin Brundle had a very similar accident at the same corner in that ill-fated season of 1994, almost hitting a caterpillar that was recovering Gianni Morbidelli’s car. Whether this is just a coincidence or not needs to be considered (I’m not sure if the drainage that area has been modified since then, I assume the track would at least have been resurfaced).

Should the safety car have been brought out sooner? I don’t think the conditions alone justified it. Sutil crashed lap 42, all cars had another lap before the safety car came out to pit, but hardly any (Jenson Button was an exception) came in to put on extreme wet tyres. Virtually all cars (Button, Magnussen and Maldonado excepted) were on the shallow-grooved ‘intermediate’ tyres. Although some may have declined to change tyres thinking that the race would finish behind the safety car, Nico Hulkenberg and Sebastian Vettel did stop on laps 44 and 45 respectively and put on fresh sets of inters. Although Raikkonen did put on extremes on lap 45, none of this suggests the track was too wet for the intermediate Pirellis to work at all (as opposed merely to being slower) and it certainly doesn’t suggest that it was wet enough to justify bringing on the safety car solely on the basis of the conditions.

Should the safety car have been used due to the accident? There certainly need to be questions asked about the use of Caterpillar trucks (which cars could go under) without a Safety car, even under double waved yellows. But putting a safety car out any time there is a car that needs to be recovered would be a very big step.

Considered response

I would advocate some ex-ante risk management procedures, taking into account the conditions, the speed and difficulty of the corner and any other relevant factors. In any case, there are many factors to consider.

To conclude, we should never forget that for all the safety improvements in F1, racing drivers still put themselves at considerable personal risk to provide a show that entertains millions and a testbed of technological progress that benefits everyone, in terms of road safety, the environment and the many jobs that depend on it. In doing so, some drivers have made the ultimate sacrifice. I really do hope that Bianchi does not join them.

Formula E first race verdict

Formula E - The Tostimonster's verdicts
Photo: SXC/ilco

Formula E is nothing like F1. A guy called Nico, who’s nowhere near as good as his dad was, ruins a race with an uncecessary crash, denies all responsibility and then admits it was his fault…

But in other areas, the new series is either a culture shock or a breath of fresh air, depending on your perspective. Dance music music in the background (but then some would say you need it with all these Es) and a ‘Fan boost’, reality TV style. And swapping cars? My alternative suggestion was that since it was on ITV, they could plug the cars in to recharge during ad breaks, but that didn’t seem to get very far.

Turn up the volume

The elephant in the room was always going to be the lack of noise. As a hardcore racing fan it’s hard not to hate the thundering silence/electric whine. But what was more noticeable on the grid was the lack of fans, at least in close proximity. Beijing isn’t exactly short on people, so where were the packed grandstands?

The racing wasn’t bad. Montagny’s aggressive overtaking was crucial to the show. Street circuits are rarely easy to overtake on and Beijing is a bit of an oddball (some parts wide, some parts narrow). The difference between circuits is perhaps the biggest reason not to make your mind up completely after only one race.

I have to say that the speed differential vis-a-vis other single seater categories – the top speed is about 25% lower even than GP3 – is very noticeable. My sense is that this is that it’s somewhat intentional in order to make use of city centre circuits (some uniquely available to Formula E due to the lack of noise). Apart from the natural commercial benefits to this, it also has the potential to draw in fans that wouldnt go all the way to a racetrack.

New horizons

Formula E seems to want to branch out to new demographics as much as it is to new technology… Having visibly more women (both drivers and in general), the inherent environmental angle and quirky features like the “EJ”, the fan boost and the car swapping, will certainly help this green-tech startup reach beyond the testosterone-fuelled, petrolhead under-40 stereotype.

For what it is, Formula E is great and I’ll continue to watch it. It’s a testbed for technology and for ideas that would be too risky to try in F1. It had its share of drama. And giving us racing fans something to watch during the winter, like A1GP used to, should be applauded. Just keep your expectations realistic – F1 is the pinacle of motor racing, and that’s not about to change.

Ocean Piglets, Shield Toads and Naked Snails

Here's how our precise, efficient, logical German friends *allegedly* came up with their names for various animals...
Ocean Piglets, Shield Toads and Naked Snails (babbel.com)
Here’s how our precise, efficient, logical German friends *allegedly* came up with their names for various animals. I’m a bit upset that their word for chipmunk (“backenhoernchen”, which literally means “baking croissant”) isn’t on there. Now I just need a Dutch version!

 

 

It’s here, properly… The Tostimonster’s Blog!

Tosti

So after months of being busy with with other things, I finally have my blog site properly up and running. Those who know me well would say that I either have plenty of wisdom to share, or perhaps that I just like the sound of my own voice, but in any case it’s about time I used a proper website instead of posting very long statuses on Facebook.

I’d added some of the more blogworthy facebook posts on here, alongside the stuff I posted during the World Cup.

Various people are to blame for inspiring me to do this, most of them either dedicated travel bloggers or those that travel a lot for their work. As for my thoughts on travel, I’ll be starting up a whole section for that soon.

I’ll share some of the posts on Facebook, and the whole lot on Twitter (@thetostimonster).

Happy reading! Here’s the main page.

See, I’m Not The New Paul The Octopus. So Who Is?

See, I’m not the new Paul the Octopus. The late, great Paul would have predicted that Tim Krul would be on the bench where he can’t save penalties. But if I’m not, then who is?

Well, there are plenty of contenders. Here’s a summary by Yahoo Sports from a couple of weeks ago:

But since this video was made, it seems as though a Camel from Dubai called Shaheen has been on a roll, calling around two-thirds of all matches correctly. His prediction for the final is out already:

And meanwhile, investment banks, mobile phone personal assistants, political number crunchers, quantum physicists and others have all been getting in on the act. We will see who’s right on Sunday…

The Tostimonster

Why I Think The Dutch Will Win Tomorrow

Why I Think The Dutch Will Win Tomorrow
Image: SXC/jcam

From early on in this World Cup I’ve felt that if the Dutchies and Deutschies maintain their level and Argentina and Brazil don’t improve, the former pair will beat the latter pair. For Germany and Brazil, I think this is indeed the case and I expect to see the Germans in the final.

For Argentina vs the Netherlands it is harder to  call, but I’m seeing orange. Here’s why:

Argentina’s form – The Argies have been way below their normal level for most of the competition. Their group should have been easy for them, but they made hard work of grinding out a series of 1-goal wins. They looked somewhat more convincing against Belgium, but would they have been so solid without Higuaín’s early goal? He took it very well, but only after a lucky deflection took the ball straight to him, completely wrongfooting the Belgian defence. Their ageing team (the oldest in the competition – the Dutch are only the 25th oldest) is probably getting tired.

And how do you solve a problem like di Maria? We saw in the Switzerland game what happens when he doesn’t show up – now he literally won’t show up due to injury. Argentina will rely more than ever on Messi and things could get a bit, well, messy…

Netherlands’ form – It’s tempting to conclude (and some have) that the Dutch level has dropped in the last two games, given the lack of goals. But that misses an important point – their two North American opponents have proven incredibly hard for anyone to score against. Mexico’s keeper Ochoa was outstanding all tournament, conceding only once in the whole group stage. Costa Rica only conceded two goals (besides penalties in shootouts) during their entire five-match tournament. Their tactics in general were rather negative, seemingly playing for penalties (perhaps understandably, having won their shootout in the previous round). Don’t be deceived, the Dutch are still in form, far more so than it might appear.

Marginal offsides – Also against Costa Rica, the Dutch final ball wasn’t bad, it was just that the runs were often mistimed, most of them only fractionally. They were caught offside, or as the Dutch say, “outsidegame”, 13 times. That’s an extraordinary number. To put it into perspective, the record for a team in a world cup match is 20 (by England vs Kuwait in 1982) and that was under the old offside rule, which was far stricter. Changing the timing of their runs only slightly (which I’m sure they’ve been working on) would have created maybe ten additional chances.

The Krul factor – the Newcastle United keeper went the right way on all five Costa Rican penalties and saved two. This isn’t just crucial when a match actually goes to penalties. The threat of penalties, when playing against a team that is strong on them, can often pressure teams into taking extra risks late in normal time and in extra time. It’s almost like starting half a goal up.

The tosti factor – the last two matches I was meeting people for lunch, so couldn’t get my beloved ham en kaas tosti. No such chances will be taken this time…

The Tostimonster